tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 10:03, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 72% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2660 United Flight history → SAV 16:05 DEN 18:07 23% 7% 0.6% 74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SAV 09:50 → IAD 11:44UA 6366 · flown by Mesa 2h 51m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 8h 39m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:30 → ATL 09:41DL 686 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957 7h 30m 100% 83%
UnitedDetails → SAV 06:15 → EWR 08:27UA 2828 3h 51m Newark EWR 12:18 → DEN 14:23UA 2455 10h 08m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → SAV 11:22 → DTW 13:30DL 1119 2h 31m Detroit DTW 16:01 → DEN 17:07DL 2431 7h 45m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530 6h 55m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:37 → ATL 13:51DL 3054 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 16:01 → DEN 17:08DL 493 6h 31m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:00 → ATL 07:10DL 3098 1h 34m Atlanta ATL 08:44 → DEN 09:53DL 346 5h 53m 93% 77%
UnitedDetails → SAV 15:35 → IAH 17:20UA 6185 · flown by Mesa 2h 50m Houston IAH 20:10 → DEN 21:29UA 685 7h 54m 97% 77%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SAV 14:56 → EWR 17:08UA 546 1h 41m Newark EWR 18:49 → DEN 21:18UA 407 8h 22m 72% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON