Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 1119 Delta Flight history →	SAV 11:22	DTW 13:30	12%	3%	0.7%	90%
OO 3711 SkyWest	SAV 13:04	DTW 15:12	19%	8%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SAV 07:00 → IAH 08:31UA 6220 · flown by Mesa	1h 14m Houston	IAH 09:45 → DTW 13:42UA 4064 · flown by Mesa	6h 42m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:00 → ATL 07:10DL 3098	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 56m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 14:10 → DTW 16:06DL 1031	6h 03m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:37 → ATL 13:51DL 3054	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067	6h 37m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:00 → ATL 08:13DL 1702	1h 32m Atlanta	ATL 09:45 → DTW 11:40DL 8861	4h 40m	95%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:00 → LGA 08:10DL 5457 · flown by Endeavor	1h 15m New York	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	5h 24m	92%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 07:50 → JFK 10:02DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	3h 03m New York	JFK 13:05 → DTW 15:00DL 1654	7h 10m	97%	80%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:05 → LGA 14:23DL 5267 · flown by Endeavor	2h 37m New York	LGA 17:00 → DTW 19:39DL 999	7h 34m	95%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON