Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2574 at 17:14, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2574 Delta Flight history →	SAV 17:14	MSP 19:14	14%	6%	0.6%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Savannah). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAV 07:12 → JFK 09:19DL 5032 · flown by Endeavor	2h 16m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	7h 38m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	SAV 08:30 → ATL 09:41DL 686	2h 36m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 20m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SAV 06:00 → ATL 07:10DL 3098	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:31DL 2090	6h 31m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011	3h 22m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:07DL 2825	7h 04m	99%	83%
United Details →	SAV 16:05 → DEN 18:07UA 2660	2h 47m Denver	DEN 20:54 → MSP 23:59UA 667	8h 54m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	SAV 10:34 → BOS 13:15DL 5596 · flown by Republic	1h 37m Boston	BOS 14:52 → MSP 17:05DL 1127	7h 31m	95%	82%
Delta Details →	SAV 12:37 → ATL 13:51DL 3054	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	7h 38m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	SAV 11:22 → DTW 13:30DL 1119	2h 50m Detroit	DTW 16:20 → MSP 17:12DL 2203	6h 50m	98%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON