tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: AA 5570 at 07:45 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 26%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 5570 American flown by PSA Flight history → SAV 07:45 PHL 09:50 10% 5% 1.0% 96%
AA 2708 American SAV 16:35 PHL 18:50 26% 8% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Philadelphia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAV 06:00 → ATL 07:10DL 3098 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → PHL 12:15DL 2279 6h 15m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → SAV 08:30 → ATL 09:41DL 686 2h 34m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → PHL 14:15DL 2131 5h 45m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:03 → ATL 11:09DL 3011 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → PHL 15:58DL 1692 5h 55m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → SAV 10:34 → BOS 13:15DL 5596 · flown by Republic 1h 15m Boston BOS 14:30 → PHL 16:12DL 5706 · flown by Republic 5h 38m 93% 82%
AmericanDetails → SAV 07:00 → CLT 08:25AA 5049 · flown by PSA 1h 05m Charlotte CLT 09:30 → PHL 11:21AA 2565 4h 21m 94% 81%
DeltaDetails → SAV 11:22 → DTW 13:30DL 1119 1h 30m Detroit DTW 15:00 → PHL 16:43DL 1391 5h 21m 94% 79%
DeltaDetails → SAV 12:37 → ATL 13:51DL 3054 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 17:45 → PHL 19:51DL 1329 7h 14m 99% 78%
DeltaDetails → SAV 15:53 → ATL 17:04DL 1067 2h 37m Atlanta ATL 19:41 → PHL 21:42DL 1174 5h 49m 95% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → SAV 17:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3014 52m Atlanta ATL 19:41 → PHL 21:42DL 1174 4h 11m 72% 56%
AmericanDetails → SAV 07:01 → DFW 08:50AA 2435 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:38 → PHL 14:00AA 402 6h 59m 69% 51%
UnitedDetails → SAV 15:40 → IAH 17:12UA 6185 · flown by Mesa 53m Houston IAH 18:05 → PHL 22:43UA 3991 · flown by Mesa 7h 03m 74% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON