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Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 76% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SJC 06:00 → SLC 08:55DL 1314 50m Salt Lake City SLC 09:45 → FLL 16:28DL 745 7h 28m 94% 76%
DeltaDetails → SJC 07:20 → SEA 09:42DL 4041 · flown by SkyWest 3h 18m Seattle SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338 11h 32m 99% 74%
DeltaDetails → SJC 06:35 → ATL 14:15DL 654 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 9h 05m 98% 70%
DeltaDetails → SJC 12:40 → ATL 20:29DL 809 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 8h 59m 98% 69%
AmericanDetails → SJC 06:01 → DFW 11:46AA 1019 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:44 → FLL 16:49AA 1373 7h 48m 90% 60%
AmericanDetails → SJC 12:01 → DFW 17:40AA 2046 1h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:01 → FLL 23:07AA 1847 8h 06m 86% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON