tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 276 at 08:20, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 276 JetBlue Flight history → SJU 08:20 BDL 12:52 19% 6% 0.9% 62%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SJU 07:01 → ATL 10:50DL 1763 2h 05m Atlanta ATL 12:55 → BDL 15:14DL 2739 8h 13m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → SJU 14:21 → DTW 19:03DL 1913 2h 27m Detroit DTW 21:30 → BDL 23:14DL 2989 8h 53m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → SJU 12:55 → ATL 16:44DL 1930 2h 06m Atlanta ATL 18:50 → BDL 21:13DL 2504 8h 18m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → SJU 14:42 → ATL 18:36DL 1882 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 21:31 → BDL 23:54DL 1011 9h 12m 99% 76%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 04:56 → MCO 08:15B6 234 2h 19m Orlando MCO 10:34 → BDL 13:30B6 438 8h 34m 97% 72%
AmericanDetails → SJU 15:40 → CLT 19:39AA 783 1h 41m Charlotte CLT 21:20 → BDL 23:24AA 2763 7h 44m 92% 61%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 11:10 → MCO 14:29B6 1334 3h 10m Orlando MCO 17:39 → BDL 20:33B6 138 9h 23m 96% 60%
JetBlueDetails → SJU 14:27 → FLL 17:22B6 1454 2h 46m Fort Lauderdale FLL 20:08 → BDL 23:14B6 460 8h 47m 92% 56%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlueDetails → SJU 16:18 → FLL 19:10B6 154 58m Fort Lauderdale FLL 20:08 → BDL 23:14B6 460 6h 56m 52% 32%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON