Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 2602 at 17:44, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 2602 JetBlue Flight history →	SJU 17:44	HPN 21:41	30%	11%	1.1%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SJU 12:54 → ATL 16:43DL 1930	3h 16m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	9h 31m	100%	79%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 14:48 → MCO 18:10B6 934	2h 09m Orlando	MCO 20:19 → HPN 23:16B6 1694	8h 28m	96%	65%
Delta Details →	SJU 07:30 → ATL 11:14DL 1763	46m Atlanta	ATL 12:00 → HPN 14:40DL 5435 · flown by Endeavor	7h 10m	77%	65%
JetBlue Details →	SJU 05:00 → MCO 08:19B6 234	3h 58m Orlando	MCO 12:17 → HPN 15:05B6 194	10h 05m	99%	63%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	SJU 15:33 → FLL 18:15B6 1454	1h 21m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 19:36 → HPN 22:43B6 914	7h 10m	69%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON