Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1967 Southwest SLC 12:14 BWI 18:30 14% 3% 0.6% no record
DL 2079 Delta Flight history → SLC 00:14 BWI 05:57 14% 2% 0.6% 78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → SLC 00:06 → BOS 06:26DL 696 3h 05m Boston BOS 09:31 → BWI 11:13DL 5668 · flown by Republic 9h 07m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 3h 45m Detroit DTW 15:09 → BWI 16:45DL 2480 8h 45m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 2h 14m San Francisco SFO 09:33 → BWI 17:57UA 2664 9h 52m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Denver DEN 09:46 → BWI 15:17UA 1362 8h 02m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 2h 13m Minneapolis MSP 19:45 → BWI 23:13DL 2918 7h 13m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 15m Atlanta ATL 13:59 → BWI 15:49DL 2799 6h 49m 96% 83%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 42m Denver DEN 14:09 → BWI 19:30UA 363 9h 00m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 3h 56m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → BWI 19:45DL 2928 9h 35m 100% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON