tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2855 at 17:25, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2855 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:25 CLE 22:58 14% 5% 0.5% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cleveland is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:06 → BOS 06:26DL 696 3h 29m Boston BOS 09:55 → CLE 12:00DL 5641 · flown by Republic 9h 54m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:40 → CLE 14:36UA 619 7h 21m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 2h 18m Minneapolis MSP 19:50 → CLE 22:41DL 1392 6h 41m 97% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 38m Houston IAH 14:35 → CLE 18:30UA 1934 9h 45m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → CLE 18:53UA 2476 8h 23m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 17:45 → CLE 19:35DL 2750 9h 25m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 01m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → CLE 15:29DL 2545 6h 29m 92% 78%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 3h 18m San Francisco SFO 10:37 → CLE 18:23UA 2603 10h 18m 99% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 16:09 → ORD 20:21UA 1963 59m Chicago ORD 21:20 → CLE 23:49UA 457 5h 40m 66% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON