Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: DL 2070 at 10:30 is the safest bet, 19% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 30%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2070 Delta Flight history →	SLC 10:30	CLT 16:27	19%	4%	1.2%	88%
AA 1895 American	SLC 13:35	CLT 19:37	30%	7%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	2h 42m Minneapolis	MSP 20:14 → CLT 23:44DL 2929	7h 44m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 00:06 → BOS 06:26DL 696	1h 52m Boston	BOS 08:18 → CLT 10:42DL 5626 · flown by Republic	8h 36m	98%	87%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 59m Denver	DEN 09:53 → CLT 15:17UA 2231	8h 02m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289	3h 30m Detroit	DTW 14:54 → CLT 16:48DL 1429	8h 48m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 19m Atlanta	ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177	8h 23m	98%	81%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	1h 13m Houston	IAH 12:10 → CLT 16:02UA 6197 · flown by Mesa	7h 17m	95%	79%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:30 → MSP 11:58DL 2916	57m Minneapolis	MSP 12:55 → CLT 16:27DL 2819	5h 57m	92%	78%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 11m Atlanta	ATL 17:05 → CLT 18:24DL 3158	8h 14m	100%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244	50m Detroit	DTW 20:05 → CLT 21:57DL 2352	6h 07m	72%	60%
American Details →	SLC 13:35 → ORD 17:59AA 3258	49m Chicago	ORD 18:48 → CLT 22:00AA 689	6h 25m	69%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON