tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 08:30, is the safest bet: 79% chance of reaching Columbus on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2230 Delta Flight history → SLC 15:30 CMH 20:58 18% 6% 0.4% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 00:06 → BOS 06:26DL 696 2h 45m Boston BOS 09:11 → CMH 11:27DL 5654 · flown by Republic 9h 21m 100% 94%
DeltaDetails → SLC 09:45 → DTW 15:12DL 2236 2h 43m Detroit DTW 17:55 → CMH 19:05DL 5762 · flown by Republic 7h 20m 100% 91%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Denver DEN 09:35 → CMH 14:28UA 480 7h 13m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936 2h 43m Minneapolis MSP 20:15 → CMH 23:07DL 1356 7h 07m 97% 86%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:35 → ORD 17:59AA 3258 2h 55m Chicago ORD 20:54 → CMH 23:32AA 4445 · flown by Republic 7h 57m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289 56m Detroit DTW 12:20 → CMH 13:27DL 5774 · flown by Republic 5h 27m 93% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 1h 18m Houston IAH 12:15 → CMH 16:05UA 4072 · flown by Mesa 7h 20m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 37m Atlanta ATL 14:21 → CMH 15:58DL 2892 6h 58m 97% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON