Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2273 Delta Flight history →	SLC 09:40	CVG 15:03	11%	3%	0.4%	92%
DL 2291 Delta Flight history →	SLC 17:25	CVG 22:46	13%	3%	0.4%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 00:06 → BOS 06:26DL 696	2h 19m Boston	BOS 08:45 → CVG 11:12DL 5601 · flown by Republic	9h 06m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	2h 48m Minneapolis	MSP 20:20 → CVG 23:11DL 1469	7h 11m	98%	88%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 46m Denver	DEN 09:40 → CVG 14:28UA 1978	7h 13m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 17:34 → CVG 19:03DL 1858	8h 53m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	7h 41m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874	2h 38m Seattle	SEA 11:40 → CVG 19:05DL 558	9h 15m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 49m Atlanta	ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395	9h 04m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:00 → ATL 16:44DL 885	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 20:31 → CVG 21:59DL 2248	8h 59m	98%	84%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SLC 11:00 → ATL 16:44DL 885	50m Atlanta	ATL 17:34 → CVG 19:03DL 1858	6h 03m	74%	64%
United Details →	SLC 16:09 → ORD 20:21UA 1963	1h 02m Chicago	ORD 21:23 → CVG 23:36UA 1223	5h 27m	71%	47%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON