Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2228 at 13:45, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2228 Delta Flight history →	SLC 13:45	IND 18:54	15%	4%	0.5%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 00:06 → BOS 06:26DL 696	2h 59m Boston	BOS 09:25 → IND 12:03DL 5627 · flown by Republic	9h 57m	100%	93%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 04m Denver	DEN 09:58 → IND 14:35UA 1522	7h 20m	100%	87%
United Details →	SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest	2h 33m San Francisco	SFO 09:52 → IND 17:09UA 2274	9h 04m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 16:50 → IND 18:27DL 2979	8h 17m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:30 → MSP 11:58DL 2916	57m Minneapolis	MSP 12:55 → IND 15:33DL 2910	5h 03m	92%	83%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	2h 28m Minneapolis	MSP 20:00 → IND 22:37DL 674	6h 37m	97%	82%
American Details →	SLC 13:35 → ORD 17:59AA 3258	2h 47m Chicago	ORD 20:46 → IND 22:58AA 4740 · flown by Republic	7h 23m	100%	81%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	58m Houston	IAH 11:55 → IND 15:25UA 1687	6h 40m	92%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON