Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 4052 at 13:11, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 4052 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:11	LIT 17:14	10%	4%	0.6%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Little Rock on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	3h 48m Atlanta	ATL 16:32 → LIT 17:12DL 3025	9h 12m	100%	85%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	2h 53m Denver	DEN 13:20 → LIT 16:42UA 5760 · flown by SkyWest	7h 12m	99%	83%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 41m Denver	DEN 09:35 → LIT 12:54UA 5369 · flown by SkyWest	6h 39m	99%	82%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	3h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:46 → LIT 13:08AA 3898 · flown by Envoy	7h 08m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 15:14 → LIT 15:49DL 3027	6h 39m	94%	78%
American Details →	SLC 12:17 → PHX 13:02AA 6422 · flown by SkyWest	2h 48m Phoenix	PHX 15:50 → LIT 20:47AA 4329 · flown by Envoy	7h 30m	98%	77%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	3h 30m Atlanta	ATL 19:09 → LIT 19:44DL 2701	8h 49m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → LIT 23:14DL 2083	8h 39m	98%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SLC 16:09 → ORD 20:21UA 1963	1h 03m Chicago	ORD 21:24 → LIT 23:14UA 4542 · flown by GoJet	6h 05m	70%	48%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON