Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2882 Delta Flight history →	SLC 10:34	MCI 13:57	12%	3%	0.5%	89%
DL 2903 Delta Flight history →	SLC 17:13	MCI 20:38	19%	5%	0.6%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 08:30 → MSP 11:58DL 2916	3h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 15:19 → MCI 16:55DL 1774	7h 25m	99%	88%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 56m Denver	DEN 09:50 → MCI 12:38UA 2159	6h 23m	99%	88%
United Details →	SLC 09:44 → IAD 15:47UA 1322	2h 16m Dulles	IAD 18:03 → MCI 19:51UA 1165	9h 07m	100%	83%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	3h 13m Denver	DEN 13:40 → MCI 16:22UA 586	6h 52m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	2h 58m Minneapolis	MSP 20:30 → MCI 21:59DL 1657	6h 59m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:45 → LAX 10:44DL 1095	3h 11m Los Angeles	LAX 13:55 → MCI 19:12DL 2243	8h 27m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 15:19 → MCI 16:29DL 1660	8h 29m	99%	81%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	1h 53m Phoenix	PHX 09:50 → MCI 14:47AA 1622	6h 34m	97%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON