tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2619 at 17:45, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2619 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:45 MKE 21:43 20% 6% 0.5% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:30 → MSP 11:58DL 2916 1h 45m Minneapolis MSP 13:43 → MKE 15:02DL 2006 5h 32m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 03m Denver DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:25UA 1836 7h 10m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 3h 11m Atlanta ATL 15:55 → MKE 16:59DL 1206 8h 59m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 22:39 → MKE 23:43DL 1268 9h 08m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:00 → ATL 16:44DL 885 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 19:54 → MKE 21:02DL 2388 9h 02m 98% 80%
UnitedDetails → SLC 12:41 → ORD 16:46UA 1382 2h 59m Chicago ORD 19:45 → MKE 20:56UA 4711 · flown by SkyWest 7h 15m 94% 70%
AmericanDetails → SLC 13:35 → ORD 17:59AA 3258 2h 50m Chicago ORD 20:49 → MKE 21:37AA 6257 · flown by SkyWest 7h 02m 100% 69%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:00 → ORD 12:20UA 1502 2h 05m Chicago ORD 14:25 → MKE 15:24UA 5668 · flown by SkyWest 6h 24m 94% 67%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON