Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2100 at 09:25, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2100 Delta Flight history →	SLC 09:25	MSY 13:47	10%	3%	0.5%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 08:30 → MSP 11:58DL 2916	3h 38m Minneapolis	MSP 15:36 → MSY 18:20DL 2695	8h 50m	99%	87%
United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 23m Denver	DEN 11:05 → MSY 14:47UA 2273	6h 47m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829	3h 16m Los Angeles	LAX 15:43 → MSY 21:28DL 2154	8h 58m	99%	80%
United Details →	SLC 09:44 → IAD 15:47UA 1322	2h 01m Dulles	IAD 17:48 → MSY 19:28UA 251	8h 44m	100%	80%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146	7h 57m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	2h 17m Atlanta	ATL 17:56 → MSY 18:34DL 678	7h 39m	98%	79%
United Details →	SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:49UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest	3h 56m Denver	DEN 18:45 → MSY 22:34UA 1541	8h 29m	99%	78%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	58m Houston	IAH 11:55 → MSY 13:14UA 2385	5h 29m	92%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON