tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 116 SkyWest SLC 13:45 OKC 17:12 10% 5% 0.6% no record
DL 3703 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 17:45 OKC 21:07 12% 6% 1.2% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 3h 11m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 6h 46m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 3h 30m Minneapolis MSP 18:10 → OKC 20:15DL 3791 · flown by SkyWest 8h 05m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 2h 58m Denver DEN 13:25 → OKC 16:10UA 1656 6h 40m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 06m Atlanta ATL 13:50 → OKC 14:56DL 2862 6h 56m 95% 79%
AmericanDetails → SLC 15:11 → PHX 16:14AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest 2h 42m Phoenix PHX 18:56 → OKC 23:15AA 6320 · flown by SkyWest 7h 04m 100% 77%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 06:14 → SEA 07:23AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest 55m Seattle SEA 08:18 → OKC 13:57AS 405 6h 43m 91% 74%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 1h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:40 → OKC 11:53AA 3099 5h 53m 98% 73%
FrontierDetails → SLC 11:51 → DEN 13:39F9 3982 2h 15m Denver DEN 15:54 → OKC 18:31F9 1928 5h 40m 96% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → SLC 16:44 → DFW 20:29AA 1456 1h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:29 → OKC 22:33AA 1458 4h 49m 65% 29%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON