Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4114 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 09:25	OMA 12:46	6%	3%	0.4%	87%
DL 3706 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 17:18	OMA 20:40	9%	4%	0.5%	84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	3h 58m Minneapolis	MSP 21:30 → OMA 22:48DL 4014 · flown by SkyWest	7h 48m	99%	89%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 13m Denver	DEN 10:07 → OMA 12:47UA 1633	6h 32m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	3h 25m Minneapolis	MSP 18:05 → OMA 19:25DL 4024 · flown by SkyWest	7h 15m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 17:20 → OMA 18:42DL 2707	9h 32m	100%	86%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	3h 23m Denver	DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327	6h 54m	99%	84%
Alaska Details →	SLC 06:14 → SEA 07:23AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest	1h 37m Seattle	SEA 09:00 → OMA 14:13AS 312	6h 59m	98%	82%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	58m Houston	IAH 11:55 → OMA 14:11UA 6188 · flown by Mesa	6h 26m	92%	81%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 13:44 → OMA 15:08DL 2364	7h 08m	91%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SLC 16:09 → ORD 20:21UA 1963	50m Chicago	ORD 21:11 → OMA 22:42UA 2336	5h 33m	41%	29%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON