Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 1188 at 10:50, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1188 Delta Flight history →	SLC 10:50	PIT 16:38	10%	3%	0.4%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 00:06 → BOS 06:26DL 696	2h 44m Boston	BOS 09:10 → PIT 11:11DL 5678 · flown by Republic	9h 05m	100%	93%
Delta Details →	SLC 06:00 → DTW 11:24DL 2289	2h 55m Detroit	DTW 14:19 → PIT 15:39DL 4640 · flown by Endeavor	7h 39m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:30 → MSP 11:58DL 2916	1h 18m Minneapolis	MSP 13:16 → PIT 16:37DL 4971 · flown by Endeavor	6h 07m	97%	90%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:50 → DTW 19:15DL 2244	2h 25m Detroit	DTW 21:40 → PIT 22:49DL 5369 · flown by Endeavor	6h 59m	97%	89%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 11m Denver	DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308	8h 01m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	2h 18m Minneapolis	MSP 19:50 → PIT 22:55DL 1134	6h 55m	97%	86%
American Details →	SLC 13:35 → ORD 17:59AA 3258	2h 33m Chicago	ORD 20:32 → PIT 23:10AA 4527 · flown by Republic	7h 35m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568	8h 08m	99%	84%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SLC 16:09 → ORD 20:21UA 1963	59m Chicago	ORD 21:20 → PIT 23:59UA 3464 · flown by Republic	5h 50m	65%	55%
American Details →	SLC 13:35 → ORD 17:59AA 3258	53m Chicago	ORD 18:52 → PIT 21:39AA 1051	6h 04m	70%	46%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON