Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4042 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	PSP 11:41	6%	3%	0.6%	99%
DL 3852 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 15:45	PSP 16:38	7%	2%	0.6%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest	1h 14m San Francisco	SFO 08:33 → PSP 10:15UA 717	5h 10m	96%	87%
United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 36m Denver	DEN 11:18 → PSP 12:38UA 687	6h 38m	98%	83%
Alaska Details →	SLC 12:39 → PDX 13:44AS 3430 · flown by SkyWest	3h 52m Portland	PDX 17:36 → PSP 20:14AS 3022 · flown by SkyWest	8h 35m	100%	80%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	2h 39m Phoenix	PHX 10:36 → PSP 11:58AA 1884	5h 45m	98%	74%
United Details →	SLC 14:33 → DEN 16:16UA 1662	2h 58m Denver	DEN 19:14 → PSP 20:28UA 2644	6h 55m	96%	72%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	1h 59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:45 → PSP 11:57AA 2548	7h 57m	98%	71%
American Details →	SLC 15:11 → PHX 16:14AA 6462 · flown by SkyWest	1h 02m Phoenix	PHX 17:16 → PSP 18:33AA 4922 · flown by SkyWest	4h 22m	93%	70%
United Details →	SLC 09:49 → SFO 11:13UA 5970 · flown by SkyWest	1h 30m San Francisco	SFO 12:43 → PSP 14:26UA 342	5h 37m	84%	67%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON