Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–6% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 3756 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 21:45	RDM 22:32	5%	1%	0.7%	95%
DL 3727 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 10:45	RDM 11:35	6%	2%	0.6%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232	2h 33m Denver	DEN 11:15 → RDM 12:53UA 2082	6h 53m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:50 → SEA 09:02DL 2874	2h 20m Seattle	SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest	5h 55m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	SLC 17:20 → SEA 18:33DL 871	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 21:35 → RDM 22:57DL 4047 · flown by SkyWest	6h 37m	96%	80%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:20 → SEA 14:35DL 2921	2h 50m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	6h 23m	98%	78%
United Details →	SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest	3h 08m San Francisco	SFO 10:27 → RDM 12:11UA 2153	7h 06m	99%	76%
United Details →	SLC 14:33 → DEN 16:16UA 1662	3h 13m Denver	DEN 19:29 → RDM 21:05UA 1588	7h 32m	96%	76%
Alaska Details →	SLC 16:00 → SEA 17:16AS 734	2h 27m Seattle	SEA 19:43 → RDM 20:53AS 2388 · flown by Horizon	5h 53m	99%	72%
Alaska Details →	SLC 19:30 → PDX 20:36AS 3308 · flown by SkyWest	50m Portland	PDX 21:26 → RDM 22:21AS 2057 · flown by Horizon	3h 51m	79%	66%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SLC 15:15 → SEA 16:28DL 2817	57m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	4h 28m	69%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON