tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 3123 Delta Flight history → SLC 09:50 SAT 13:36 11% 3% 0.4% 83%
DL 2797 Delta Flight history → SLC 17:20 SAT 21:08 17% 5% 0.5% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Denver DEN 09:35 → SAT 12:43UA 2625 6h 28m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest 3h 17m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 7h 25m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 3h 55m Minneapolis MSP 18:35 → SAT 21:26DL 2773 9h 16m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366 3h 49m Houston IAH 14:46 → SAT 15:53UA 2030 8h 08m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 16:59 → SAT 18:29DL 1465 9h 19m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:49UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 2h 45m Denver DEN 17:34 → SAT 20:50UA 8131 6h 45m 98% 77%
DeltaDetails → SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907 1h 56m Atlanta ATL 14:40 → SAT 16:05DL 2009 8h 05m 97% 77%
FrontierDetails → SLC 11:51 → DEN 13:39F9 3982 1h 51m Denver DEN 15:30 → SAT 18:44F9 2356 5h 53m 92% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → SLC 09:49 → SFO 11:13UA 5970 · flown by SkyWest 1h 05m San Francisco SFO 12:18 → SAT 17:54UA 2365 7h 05m 72% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON