tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2681 Southwest STL 08:22 OMA 09:51 3% 2% 0.4% no record
WN 2690 Southwest STL 15:02 OMA 16:28 10% 4% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → STL 06:21 → MSP 07:56DL 1597 3h 49m Minneapolis MSP 11:45 → OMA 13:11DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest 6h 50m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → STL 06:06 → IAH 08:14UA 1371 3h 41m Houston IAH 11:55 → OMA 14:11UA 6188 · flown by Mesa 8h 05m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → STL 04:57 → ORD 06:23AA 1926 1h 55m Chicago ORD 08:18 → OMA 10:01AA 4042 · flown by Envoy 5h 04m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → STL 08:00 → ATL 10:35DL 1536 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 13:44 → OMA 15:08DL 2364 7h 08m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → STL 06:14 → IAH 08:31UA 6283 · flown by Mesa 3h 22m Houston IAH 11:53 → OMA 14:15UA 1936 8h 01m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → STL 09:06 → DEN 10:30UA 2459 3h 20m Denver DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327 7h 18m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → STL 13:15 → ATL 16:01DL 566 1h 19m Atlanta ATL 17:20 → OMA 18:42DL 2707 5h 27m 94% 81%
AmericanDetails → STL 07:32 → CLT 10:30AA 712 2h 13m Charlotte CLT 12:43 → OMA 14:22AA 2278 6h 50m 95% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → STL 12:35 → LGA 16:13DL 4922 · flown by Endeavor 1h 02m New York LGA 17:15 → OMA 19:48DL 5127 · flown by Endeavor 7h 13m 75% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON