tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 08:00, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Savannah on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → STL 08:00 → ATL 10:35DL 1536 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 13:44 → SAV 14:50DL 1067 5h 50m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → STL 06:00 → ATL 08:38DL 1524 1h 09m Atlanta ATL 09:47 → SAV 10:54DL 3054 3h 54m 95% 85%
DeltaDetails → STL 10:16 → ATL 12:54DL 1400 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → SAV 16:26DL 3014 5h 10m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → STL 13:15 → ATL 16:01DL 566 1h 49m Atlanta ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527 4h 44m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → STL 11:10 → IAH 13:25UA 6213 · flown by Mesa 1h 30m Houston IAH 14:55 → SAV 18:22UA 6355 · flown by Mesa 6h 12m 95% 83%
AmericanDetails → STL 13:52 → CLT 16:45AA 3096 2h 30m Charlotte CLT 19:15 → SAV 20:32AA 5382 · flown by PSA 5h 40m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → STL 17:43 → ATL 20:23DL 543 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 22:46 → SAV 23:53DL 2860 5h 10m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → STL 07:20 → ORD 09:00UA 4423 · flown by GoJet 2h 10m Chicago ORD 11:10 → SAV 14:21UA 1612 6h 01m 96% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON