Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 4635 American flown by Republic Flight history →	SYR 11:12	BOS 12:31	7%	3%	0.7%	92%
B6 374 JetBlue Flight history →	SYR 07:00	BOS 08:06	9%	4%	0.8%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	2h 11m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → BOS 11:59DL 2648	5h 38m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	1h 37m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → BOS 12:41DL 855	6h 41m	96%	85%
United Details →	SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 07m Dulles	IAD 08:35 → BOS 10:20UA 641	4h 20m	90%	83%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → LGA 07:14DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	3h 00m New York	LGA 10:14 → BOS 11:27DL 5728 · flown by Republic	5h 27m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor	2h 58m New York	JFK 09:50 → BOS 11:18DL 5733 · flown by Republic	5h 48m	96%	82%
American Details →	SYR 06:00 → PHL 07:20AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont	3h 10m Philadelphia	PHL 10:30 → BOS 12:03AA 1416	6h 03m	93%	81%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 06:00 → JFK 07:12B6 1515	2h 48m New York	JFK 10:00 → BOS 11:33B6 1018	5h 33m	98%	81%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 17m Charlotte	CLT 12:28 → BOS 14:57AA 1140	6h 57m	96%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SYR 11:56 → ORD 13:15UA 4600 · flown by GoJet	50m Chicago	ORD 14:05 → BOS 17:43UA 1928	5h 47m	71%	50%
American Details →	SYR 10:47 → PHL 12:04AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont	50m Philadelphia	PHL 12:54 → BOS 14:33AA 3186	3h 46m	56%	48%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON