tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:21, is the safest bet: 79% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 513 United SYR 08:10 DEN 10:07 11% 2% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 45m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 8h 05m 90% 83%
UnitedDetails → SYR 10:30 → IAD 11:55UA 4840 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 40m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 7h 59m 93% 79%
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091 46m Detroit DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113 5h 26m 88% 79%
DeltaDetails → SYR 12:30 → ATL 14:55DL 1375 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519 7h 26m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor 1h 33m New York JFK 08:25 → DEN 10:54DL 532 7h 24m 93% 77%
AmericanDetails → SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235 3h 02m Charlotte CLT 13:13 → DEN 14:46AA 696 8h 46m 97% 77%
AmericanDetails → SYR 06:00 → PHL 07:20AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont 2h 10m Philadelphia PHL 09:30 → DEN 11:39AA 1313 7h 39m 90% 77%
JetBlueDetails → SYR 07:00 → BOS 08:06B6 374 1h 02m Boston BOS 09:08 → DEN 11:50B6 393 6h 50m 92% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON