Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2091 at 06:21, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2091 Delta Flight history →	SYR 06:21	DTW 07:54	6%	3%	0.7%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 56m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → LGA 07:14DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	2h 11m New York	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	5h 24m	93%	82%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:30 → ATL 14:55DL 1375	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067	6h 44m	98%	81%
United Details →	SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 07m Dulles	IAD 08:35 → DTW 10:14UA 6137 · flown by Mesa	4h 14m	90%	81%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 17m Charlotte	CLT 12:28 → DTW 14:17AA 1683	6h 17m	96%	79%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 07:00 → BOS 08:06B6 374	3h 10m Boston	BOS 11:16 → DTW 13:37B6 1237	6h 37m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	SYR 16:25 → ATL 18:52DL 2991	1h 38m Atlanta	ATL 20:30 → DTW 22:31DL 1232	6h 06m	92%	73%
American Details →	SYR 07:16 → DFW 09:50AA 533	1h 35m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:25 → DTW 15:14AA 690	7h 58m	97%	67%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	SYR 19:19 → PHL 20:39AA 5837 · flown by Piedmont	1h 04m Philadelphia	PHL 21:43 → DTW 23:35AA 5418 · flown by PSA	4h 16m	68%	54%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON