Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Tue 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, B6 1739 at 18:41, with a 31% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1739 JetBlue Flight history →	SYR 18:41	FLL 22:05	31%	14%	2.9%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 13:34 → DTW 15:20DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	3h 06m Detroit	DTW 18:26 → FLL 21:28DL 2296	7h 54m	100%	74%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 23m	98%	72%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:30 → ATL 14:55DL 1375	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670	7h 13m	99%	67%
Delta Details →	SYR 17:06 → ATL 19:27DL 2991	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229	7h 33m	98%	65%
Delta Details →	SYR 05:07 → JFK 06:45DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor	3h 04m New York	JFK 09:49 → FLL 12:32DL 1422	7h 25m	98%	64%
American Details →	SYR 07:16 → DFW 09:50AA 533	2h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:44 → FLL 16:50AA 1373	9h 34m	98%	62%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 06:00 → JFK 07:12B6 1515	1h 00m New York	JFK 08:12 → FLL 11:10B6 1601	5h 10m	90%	55%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON