Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 5355 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	SYR 06:00	LGA 07:14	18%	8%	4.5%	82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	2h 11m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589	5h 29m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	6h 42m	98%	85%
American Details →	SYR 11:12 → BOS 12:31AA 4635 · flown by Republic	3h 34m Boston	BOS 16:05 → LGA 17:36AA 4430 · flown by Republic	6h 24m	100%	81%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:30 → ATL 14:55DL 1375	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 17:00 → LGA 19:27DL 997	6h 57m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	SYR 16:25 → ATL 18:52DL 2991	2h 08m Atlanta	ATL 21:00 → LGA 23:24DL 520	6h 59m	94%	79%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	1h 41m Charlotte	CLT 11:52 → LGA 13:43AA 2268	5h 43m	95%	75%
United Details →	SYR 11:56 → ORD 13:15UA 4600 · flown by GoJet	2h 59m Chicago	ORD 16:14 → LGA 19:31UA 511	7h 35m	96%	68%
United Details →	SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir	51m Dulles	IAD 08:19 → LGA 09:48UA 6116 · flown by Mesa	3h 48m	85%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON