Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–27% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 1655 JetBlue	SYR 08:29	MCO 11:31	18%	6%	4.2%	no record
B6 2655 JetBlue Flight history →	SYR 17:02	MCO 20:10	27%	10%	2.0%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 13:34 → DTW 15:19DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	3h 19m Detroit	DTW 18:38 → MCO 21:12DL 1274	7h 38m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	51m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → MCO 11:23DL 1455	5h 02m	90%	72%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664	6h 00m	97%	71%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 07:00 → BOS 08:06B6 374	2h 31m Boston	BOS 10:37 → MCO 13:46B6 651	6h 46m	98%	71%
Delta Details →	SYR 05:07 → JFK 06:44DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor	3h 09m New York	JFK 09:53 → MCO 12:51DL 2019	7h 44m	98%	70%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 16m Charlotte	CLT 12:27 → MCO 14:12AA 2117	6h 12m	96%	69%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:30 → ATL 14:55DL 1375	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 17:00 → MCO 18:50DL 1497	6h 20m	98%	68%
American Details →	SYR 13:12 → CLT 15:18AA 2730	3h 47m Charlotte	CLT 19:05 → MCO 21:00AA 1783	7h 48m	100%	66%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON