Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10: one nonstop, DL 2525 at 07:09, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2525 Delta	SYR 07:09	MSP 08:44	7%	3%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	8h 50m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	1h 06m Detroit	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	4h 33m	95%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:30 → ATL 14:55DL 1375	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 17:38 → MSP 19:15DL 2981	7h 45m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → LGA 07:14DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	2h 56m New York	LGA 10:10 → MSP 12:11DL 2409	7h 11m	94%	81%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 26m Charlotte	CLT 12:37 → MSP 14:23AA 1671	7h 23m	96%	81%
United Details →	SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 03m Dulles	IAD 08:31 → MSP 10:10UA 2604	5h 10m	90%	80%
American Details →	SYR 07:16 → DFW 09:50AA 533	2h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:58 → MSP 14:32AA 1668	8h 16m	97%	71%
United Details →	SYR 11:56 → ORD 13:15UA 4600 · flown by GoJet	3h 27m Chicago	ORD 16:42 → MSP 18:06UA 1935	7h 10m	96%	61%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	SYR 11:56 → ORD 13:15UA 4600 · flown by GoJet	52m Chicago	ORD 14:07 → MSP 15:33UA 2298	4h 37m	72%	51%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON