tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Saturday, October 10 · typical odds for a Saturday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sat, Oct 10 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4772 Southwest TUL 07:31 BNA 09:18 4% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 3457 Southwest TUL 11:01 BNA 12:48 9% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TUL 06:00 → ATL 09:04DL 1259 2h 17m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 30m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → TUL 06:00 → DEN 07:00UA 5667 · flown by SkyWest 2h 42m Denver DEN 09:42 → BNA 13:25UA 355 7h 25m 98% 85%
UnitedDetails → TUL 05:00 → IAH 06:43UA 4041 · flown by Mesa 57m Houston IAH 07:40 → BNA 09:47UA 2174 4h 47m 93% 83%
UnitedDetails → TUL 07:00 → IAH 08:46UA 3984 · flown by Mesa 3h 16m Houston IAH 12:02 → BNA 14:12UA 1318 7h 12m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → TUL 07:00 → CLT 10:30AA 1729 2h 40m Charlotte CLT 13:10 → BNA 13:39AA 538 6h 39m 96% 77%
DeltaDetails → TUL 11:14 → ATL 14:16DL 2754 1h 07m Atlanta ATL 15:23 → BNA 15:36DL 3142 4h 22m 92% 76%
DeltaDetails → TUL 12:43 → ATL 15:44DL 2620 3h 36m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → BNA 19:38DL 1490 6h 55m 98% 76%
AmericanDetails → TUL 06:50 → ORD 09:03AA 3590 · flown by Envoy 2h 20m Chicago ORD 11:23 → BNA 13:02AA 2362 6h 12m 99% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → TUL 10:39 → DFW 11:59AA 2348 52m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:51 → BNA 14:54AA 1084 4h 15m 63% 42%
AmericanDetails → TUL 17:05 → DFW 18:29AA 2851 1h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:31 → BNA 21:35AA 2979 4h 30m 65% 39%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sat, Oct 10 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON