tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 27–36% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2145 Southwest ABQ 13:55 BWI 19:44 27% 7% 0.7% no record
WN 5087 Southwest ABQ 15:40 BWI 21:29 36% 10% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 2 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:30 → DEN 07:00UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:46 → BWI 15:17UA 1362 7h 47m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:00 → ATL 12:04DL 1688 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799 6h 53m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535 2h 41m Minneapolis MSP 14:45 → BWI 18:19DL 2565 7h 49m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 11:10 → ATL 16:20DL 1004 1h 37m Atlanta ATL 17:57 → BWI 20:02DL 2928 6h 52m 97% 73%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 05:32 → DFW 08:26AA 1231 2h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:59 → BWI 15:18AA 2669 7h 46m 95% 72%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 12:13 → IAH 15:30UA 6151 · flown by Mesa 2h 52m Houston IAH 18:22 → BWI 22:25UA 8183 8h 12m 98% 70%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 12:10 → LAS 12:49WN 147 3h 36m Las Vegas LAS 16:25 → BWI 23:59WN 2263 9h 49m 100% 57%
AmericanDetails → ABQ 10:05 → DFW 13:01AA 3535 · flown by Envoy 2h 24m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:25 → BWI 19:45AA 2805 7h 40m 96% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON