Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 535 at 08:30, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 535 Delta Flight history →	ABQ 08:30	MSP 12:04	6%	3%	0.5%	93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	ABQ 05:30 → DEN 07:00UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest	2h 40m Denver	DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397	6h 10m	99%	87%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 05:15 → DEN 06:45WN 117	3h 57m Denver	DEN 10:42 → MSP 13:42WN 1665	7h 27m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest	1h 26m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	5h 45m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	ABQ 06:00 → LAX 07:09DL 4115 · flown by SkyWest	56m Los Angeles	LAX 08:05 → MSP 13:42DL 799	6h 42m	93%	79%
Delta Details →	ABQ 18:10 → SLC 20:03DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest	3h 14m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:17 → MSP 02:49 +1DL 8847	7h 39m	100%	79%
Delta Details →	ABQ 07:00 → ATL 12:04DL 1688	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	8h 06m	98%	79%
United Details →	ABQ 14:08 → IAH 17:25UA 3986 · flown by Mesa	2h 37m Houston	IAH 20:02 → MSP 23:12UA 1872	8h 04m	97%	68%
American Details →	ABQ 05:32 → DFW 08:26AA 1231	3h 40m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:06 → MSP 14:42AA 1668	8h 10m	96%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	ABQ 16:20 → DEN 17:50UA 725	55m Denver	DEN 18:45 → MSP 21:50UA 2076	4h 30m	60%	39%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON