tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 59% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4228 Southwest ALB 05:00 DEN 07:10 6% 2% 0.7% no record
UA 2750 United Flight history → ALB 08:00 DEN 10:11 16% 4% 0.6% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 38m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 8h 05m 99% 89%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 06:06 → BWI 07:33WN 167 1h 53m Baltimore BWI 09:26 → DEN 11:17WN 993 7h 11m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 59m Detroit DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113 5h 42m 94% 84%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 1h 51m Philadelphia PHL 09:31 → DEN 11:29AA 1313 7h 08m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440 1h 48m Charlotte CLT 09:35 → DEN 11:11AA 2859 7h 32m 96% 79%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:36 → DTW 11:25DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 1h 17m Detroit DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648 6h 09m 93% 79%
DeltaDetails → ALB 05:45 → LGA 06:47DL 5454 · flown by Endeavor 58m New York LGA 07:45 → DEN 09:53DL 751 6h 08m 93% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 12m Dulles IAD 17:41 → DEN 19:45UA 599 6h 55m 73% 48%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:27 → LGA 13:29DL 5238 · flown by Endeavor 51m New York LGA 14:20 → DEN 16:41DL 716 6h 14m 59% 39%
UnitedDetails → ALB 17:10 → ORD 18:39UA 538 1h 35m Chicago ORD 20:14 → DEN 21:59UA 329 6h 49m 72% 32%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON