Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: B6 87 at 07:00 is the safest bet, 18% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 37%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


B6 87 JetBlue Flight history →	ALB 07:00	FLL 10:13	18%	6%	1.0%	69%
G4 502 Allegiant	ALB 13:05	FLL 16:34	37%	14%	1.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429	2h 54m Atlanta	ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063	7h 20m	98%	77%
American Details →	ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440	3h 12m Charlotte	CLT 10:59 → FLL 13:01AA 2585	7h 22m	96%	73%
American Details →	ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont	3h 54m Philadelphia	PHL 11:34 → FLL 14:19AA 1465	7h 58m	98%	73%
Delta Details →	ALB 09:36 → DTW 11:25DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest	1h 05m Detroit	DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294	5h 58m	92%	72%
Southwest Details →	ALB 06:06 → BWI 07:33WN 167	47m Baltimore	BWI 08:20 → FLL 11:10WN 3506	5h 04m	94%	72%
United Details →	ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225	3h 12m Chicago	ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279	9h 03m	99%	70%
Delta Details →	ALB 16:58 → DTW 18:47DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	1h 57m Detroit	DTW 20:44 → FLL 23:42DL 2296	6h 44m	94%	68%
Delta Details →	ALB 12:27 → ATL 15:00DL 1137	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295	6h 13m	96%	66%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON