tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5454 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record ALB 05:45 LGA 06:50 6% 3% 5.7% 94%
DL 5238 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record ALB 12:27 LGA 13:29 24% 11% 6.2% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 2h 19m Detroit DTW 10:00 → LGA 11:45DL 2589 5h 40m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 6h 42m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → ALB 16:58 → DTW 18:47DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 3h 03m Detroit DTW 21:50 → LGA 23:40DL 2603 6h 42m 96% 76%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:36 → DTW 11:25DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest 2h 37m Detroit DTW 14:02 → LGA 15:53DL 2602 6h 17m 97% 76%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 2h 16m Chicago ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669 7h 16m 98% 76%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440 1h 33m Charlotte CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150 5h 36m 96% 75%
DeltaDetails → ALB 13:14 → DTW 15:03DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 2h 56m Detroit DTW 17:59 → LGA 19:50DL 2604 6h 36m 100% 72%
AmericanDetails → ALB 18:25 → DCA 20:08AA 5501 · flown by PSA 2h 30m Washington DCA 22:38 → LGA 00:02 +1AA 4719 · flown by Republic 5h 37m 94% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 17:10 → ORD 18:39UA 538 1h 30m Chicago ORD 20:09 → LGA 23:28UA 2827 6h 18m 68% 32%
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 46m Dulles IAD 17:15 → LGA 18:42UA 4077 · flown by Mesa 3h 52m 43% 28%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON