tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 4224 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record AMA 09:00 IAH 10:52 9% 4% 0.6% 91%
UA 4816 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record AMA 15:18 IAH 17:10 15% 8% 0.5% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → AMA 08:00 → DEN 08:39UA 5221 · flown by SkyWest 2h 55m Denver DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 7h 09m 96% 76%
AmericanDetails → AMA 05:01 → DFW 06:22AA 4257 · flown by Envoy 3h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:11 → IAH 11:25AA 3829 · flown by Envoy 6h 24m 100% 76%
AmericanDetails → AMA 07:19 → DFW 08:40AA 4258 · flown by Envoy 3h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:56 → IAH 13:11AA 1397 5h 52m 100% 62%
AmericanDetails → AMA 18:55 → DFW 20:16AA 3789 · flown by Envoy 2h 39m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 22:55 → IAH 00:14 +1AA 3023 5h 19m 98% 58%
UnitedDetails → AMA 17:20 → DEN 18:06UA 4743 · flown by SkyWest 2h 22m Denver DEN 20:28 → IAH 23:59UA 2419 6h 39m 90% 57%
AmericanDetails → AMA 16:28 → DFW 17:50AA 3613 · flown by Envoy 3h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:10 → IAH 22:24AA 2209 5h 56m 98% 48%
AmericanDetails → AMA 15:10 → DFW 16:39AA 3383 · flown by Envoy 1h 57m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:36 → IAH 19:54AA 1392 4h 44m 91% 46%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → AMA 18:55 → DFW 20:16AA 3789 · flown by Envoy 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:10 → IAH 22:24AA 2209 3h 29m 74% 37%
AmericanDetails → AMA 16:28 → DFW 17:50AA 3613 · flown by Envoy 46m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:36 → IAH 19:54AA 1392 3h 26m 72% 36%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON