Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2945 at 21:16, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2945 Delta Flight history →	ATL 21:16	ATW 22:31	22%	6%	0.8%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Appleton on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 1 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:00 → DTW 08:55DL 1646	1h 05m Detroit	DTW 10:00 → ATW 10:29DL 4440 · flown by SkyWest	4h 29m	94%	81%
Delta Details →	ATL 15:28 → DTW 17:27DL 1005	3h 42m Detroit	DTW 21:09 → ATW 21:37DL 4159 · flown by SkyWest	7h 09m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:20 → DTW 11:10DL 1298	1h 48m Detroit	DTW 12:58 → ATW 13:25DL 4696 · flown by Endeavor	5h 05m	98%	76%
Delta Details →	ATL 14:00 → DTW 15:55DL 1031	1h 29m Detroit	DTW 17:24 → ATW 17:50DL 4166 · flown by SkyWest	4h 50m	92%	70%
American Details →	ATL 16:25 → DFW 17:54AA 1008	2h 13m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 20:07 → ATW 22:41AA 4188 · flown by Envoy	7h 16m	94%	68%
Delta Details →	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	3h 27m Minneapolis	MSP 21:45 → ATW 22:58DL 4920 · flown by Endeavor	7h 20m	98%	62%
United Details →	ATL 13:18 → ORD 14:41UA 745	3h 18m Chicago	ORD 17:59 → ATW 19:04UA 5987 · flown by SkyWest	6h 46m	95%	40%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478	56m Detroit	DTW 21:09 → ATW 21:37DL 4159 · flown by SkyWest	4h 26m	74%	59%
United Details →	ATL 15:30 → ORD 16:57UA 516	1h 02m Chicago	ORD 17:59 → ATW 19:04UA 5987 · flown by SkyWest	4h 34m	60%	25%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON