Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2350 at 10:52, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2350 Delta Flight history →	ATL 10:52	BGR 13:39	11%	3%	0.7%	100%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:42 → JFK 10:00DL 2420	3h 42m New York	JFK 13:42 → BGR 15:16DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor	7h 34m	99%	84%
American Details →	ATL 06:00 → PHL 08:10AA 3270	1h 24m Philadelphia	PHL 09:34 → BGR 11:13AA 6123 · flown by Piedmont	5h 13m	97%	81%
American Details →	ATL 06:47 → CLT 08:05AA 5329 · flown by PSA	1h 46m Charlotte	CLT 09:51 → BGR 12:21AA 1874	5h 34m	94%	78%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:30 → LGA 11:43DL 557	2h 59m New York	LGA 14:42 → BGR 16:11DL 5010 · flown by Endeavor	6h 41m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	ATL 17:00 → LGA 19:20DL 997	2h 52m New York	LGA 22:12 → BGR 23:41DL 5396 · flown by Endeavor	6h 41m	95%	77%
American Details →	ATL 09:22 → CLT 10:51AA 5063 · flown by PSA	2h 13m Charlotte	CLT 13:04 → BGR 15:36AA 1411	6h 14m	94%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON