Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 2626 at 22:58, with a 23% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2626 Delta Flight history →	ATL 22:58	CID 00:05	23%	8%	1.1%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cedar Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	3h 25m Minneapolis	MSP 14:55 → CID 16:08DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	7h 13m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	3h 57m Minneapolis	MSP 22:15 → CID 23:27DL 5290 · flown by Endeavor	7h 49m	99%	83%
American Details →	ATL 16:25 → DFW 17:54AA 1008	3h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 21:20 → CID 23:37AA 4235 · flown by Envoy	8h 12m	99%	75%
American Details →	ATL 11:01 → DFW 12:30AA 820	2h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:03 → CID 17:10AA 4318 · flown by Envoy	7h 09m	93%	70%
United Details →	ATL 08:52 → DEN 10:05UA 340	3h 50m Denver	DEN 13:55 → CID 17:01UA 5677 · flown by SkyWest	9h 09m	99%	68%
American Details →	ATL 15:11 → DFW 16:39AA 3104	2h 35m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:14 → CID 21:21AA 3798 · flown by Envoy	7h 10m	93%	63%
American Details →	ATL 16:45 → CLT 18:00AA 5175 · flown by PSA	2h 45m Charlotte	CLT 20:45 → CID 22:03AA 1887	6h 18m	86%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON