Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 08:15, is the safest bet: 76% chance of reaching Spokane on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 56% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 814 Delta	ATL 09:49	GEG 11:30	12%	3%	0.7%	no record
DL 1843 Delta Flight history →	ATL 19:45	GEG 21:32	25%	7%	0.8%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 3 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	3h 19m Minneapolis	MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437	8h 56m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → LAX 09:48DL 898	3h 12m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 20m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	ATL 15:40 → LAX 17:25DL 301	4h 00m Los Angeles	LAX 21:25 → GEG 00:02 +1DL 3576 · flown by SkyWest	11h 22m	99%	82%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:50 → SEA 12:13DL 774	3h 27m Seattle	SEA 15:40 → GEG 16:55DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest	10h 05m	99%	80%
Alaska Details →	ATL 08:54 → SEA 11:20AS 348	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	9h 31m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	3h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	8h 58m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	ATL 14:38 → SEA 16:49DL 481	3h 08m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	9h 35m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	3h 41m Minneapolis	MSP 21:59 → GEG 23:06DL 2418	9h 28m	99%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	ATL 16:45 → SEA 19:05DL 472	52m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	7h 28m	68%	54%
Delta Details →	ATL 18:50 → LAX 20:36DL 996	49m Los Angeles	LAX 21:25 → GEG 00:02 +1DL 3576 · flown by SkyWest	8h 12m	60%	49%
American Details →	ATL 16:25 → DFW 17:54AA 1008	53m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:47 → GEG 20:45AA 2757	7h 20m	56%	30%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON