Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 1313 Southwest	AUS 12:10	ECP 14:16	16%	4%	0.5%	no record
DL 3767 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	AUS 12:43	ECP 15:02	18%	9%	0.6%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Panama City Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344	1h 54m Atlanta	ATL 10:41 → ECP 10:48DL 3045	5h 23m	95%	86%
Delta Details →	AUS 08:15 → ATL 11:26DL 2899	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 13:49 → ECP 13:54DL 2823	5h 39m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	AUS 10:35 → ATL 13:54DL 2976	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 16:01 → ECP 16:12DL 3094	5h 37m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	AUS 12:09 → ATL 15:35DL 2886	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 17:45 → ECP 17:55DL 3053	5h 46m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	AUS 13:20 → ATL 16:50DL 2011	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 20:35 → ECP 20:46DL 2494	7h 26m	99%	78%
United Details →	AUS 05:07 → IAH 06:12UA 1966	2h 57m Houston	IAH 09:09 → ECP 11:02UA 4225 · flown by CommuteAir	5h 55m	98%	76%
American Details →	AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563	3h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:30 → ECP 11:37AA 3625 · flown by Envoy	6h 36m	98%	76%
United Details →	AUS 09:35 → IAH 10:45UA 2196	3h 45m Houston	IAH 14:30 → ECP 16:23UA 4902 · flown by CommuteAir	6h 48m	99%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	AUS 19:20 → ATL 22:37DL 1397	50m Atlanta	ATL 23:27 → ECP 23:37DL 3131	4h 17m	64%	51%
United Details →	AUS 18:04 → IAH 19:10UA 1326	51m Houston	IAH 20:01 → ECP 21:58UA 4343 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 54m	58%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON