tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, B6 959 at 08:00, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 959 JetBlue Flight history → BDL 08:00 FLL 11:10 25% 8% 2.6% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 7h 20m 100% 76%
DeltaDetails → BDL 08:05 → ATL 10:29DL 2233 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 12:43 → FLL 14:39DL 1341 6h 34m 99% 73%
AmericanDetails → BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182 2h 51m Charlotte CLT 10:59 → FLL 13:01AA 2585 7h 00m 98% 72%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635 54m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 5h 07m 91% 70%
DeltaDetails → BDL 07:00 → ATL 09:26DL 2554 59m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 5h 23m 92% 70%
DeltaDetails → BDL 09:43 → DTW 11:35DL 2859 55m Detroit DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294 5h 51m 89% 68%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672 3h 05m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 9h 04m 99% 67%
DeltaDetails → BDL 11:35 → ATL 14:03DL 2951 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 7h 05m 99% 65%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON