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Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, WN 3393 at 14:42, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 3393 Southwest BNA 14:42 ALB 17:57 20% 4% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439 1h 19m Detroit DTW 10:05 → ALB 11:47DL 5522 · flown by Endeavor 4h 41m 96% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137 5h 12m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → BNA 06:28 → PHL 09:39AA 2809 3h 26m Philadelphia PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont 7h 03m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → BNA 05:31 → CLT 08:00AA 1065 1h 09m Charlotte CLT 09:09 → ALB 11:19AA 710 4h 48m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682 1h 49m Detroit DTW 14:35 → ALB 16:15DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest 5h 09m 95% 80%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:30 → IAD 11:17UA 1709 1h 23m Dulles IAD 12:40 → ALB 14:13UA 4317 · flown by CommuteAir 4h 43m 97% 76%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:36DL 1241 6h 48m 99% 76%
AmericanDetails → BNA 15:41 → PHL 19:07AA 868 2h 43m Philadelphia PHL 21:50 → ALB 23:23AA 5877 · flown by Piedmont 6h 42m 96% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → BNA 16:34 → CLT 19:05AA 3291 1h 10m Charlotte CLT 20:15 → ALB 22:26AA 589 4h 52m 71% 45%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON