tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: WN 667 at 08:05 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 27%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 667 Southwest BNA 08:05 OKC 10:08 6% 2% 0.7% no record
WN 1532 Southwest BNA 22:45 OKC 00:48 27% 7% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 1h 47m Atlanta ATL 09:08 → OKC 10:14DL 2490 5h 04m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:14DL 2020 5h 56m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:40 → IAH 11:02UA 4005 · flown by Mesa 3h 33m Houston IAH 14:35 → OKC 16:15UA 6189 · flown by Mesa 7h 35m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → BNA 07:00 → DEN 08:55UA 1716 1h 10m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 6h 01m 95% 81%
DeltaDetails → BNA 16:31 → ATL 18:49DL 3142 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 22:44 → OKC 23:52DL 2423 7h 21m 99% 78%
AmericanDetails → BNA 05:31 → CLT 08:00AA 1065 3h 15m Charlotte CLT 11:15 → OKC 12:56AA 1626 7h 25m 100% 77%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 6h 34m 99% 76%
AmericanDetails → BNA 06:01 → DFW 08:20AA 2787 2h 16m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:36 → OKC 11:49AA 3099 5h 48m 97% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BNA 15:08 → IAH 17:19UA 2339 53m Houston IAH 18:12 → OKC 19:53UA 5278 · flown by SkyWest 4h 45m 69% 50%
UnitedDetails → BNA 14:29 → DEN 16:29UA 1766 1h 02m Denver DEN 17:31 → OKC 20:11UA 1184 5h 42m 69% 39%
UnitedDetails → BNA 16:59 → ORD 19:00UA 1884 1h 35m Chicago ORD 20:35 → OKC 22:47UA 1440 5h 48m 69% 33%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON