tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2229 JetBlue Flight history → BOS 08:34 MKE 10:24 12% 4% 0.6% 87%
DL 5619 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → BOS 16:25 MKE 18:17 16% 5% 0.8% 78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Boston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 2h 30m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 7h 23m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:55 → MSP 08:04DL 2303 2h 01m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561 6h 22m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → BOS 05:57 → EWR 07:25UA 1833 1h 22m Newark EWR 08:47 → MKE 10:11UA 3697 · flown by Republic 5h 14m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → BOS 08:00 → ATL 10:51DL 923 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 14:10 → MKE 15:09DL 2152 8h 09m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → BOS 08:16 → MSP 10:27DL 1308 3h 27m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 7h 53m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → BOS 05:54 → PHL 07:35AA 1540 3h 40m Philadelphia PHL 11:15 → MKE 12:36AA 5474 · flown by PSA 7h 42m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → BOS 16:30 → ATL 19:38DL 399 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268 8h 26m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → BOS 16:00 → LGA 17:30DL 5726 · flown by Republic 3h 05m New York LGA 20:35 → MKE 22:30DL 5780 · flown by Republic 7h 30m 97% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → BOS 18:00 → LGA 19:34DL 5831 · flown by Republic 1h 01m New York LGA 20:35 → MKE 22:30DL 5780 · flown by Republic 5h 30m 68% 53%
UnitedDetails → BOS 18:58 → EWR 20:26UA 1693 1h 33m Newark EWR 21:59 → MKE 23:34UA 3564 · flown by Republic 5h 36m 72% 48%
AmericanDetails → BOS 17:49 → DCA 19:49AA 1421 1h 10m Washington DCA 20:59 → MKE 22:19AA 5080 · flown by PSA 5h 30m 72% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON