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Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, DL 3087 at 09:25, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 3087 Delta Flight history → BOS 09:25 MYR 11:42 15% 6% 1.1% 75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → BOS 06:05 → CLT 08:30AA 418 2h 50m Charlotte CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont 6h 31m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 7h 30m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019 1h 07m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 5h 09m 96% 85%
AmericanDetails → BOS 05:54 → PHL 07:35AA 1540 1h 20m Philadelphia PHL 08:55 → MYR 10:54AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 5h 00m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → BOS 08:03 → PHL 09:40AA 2764 1h 13m Philadelphia PHL 10:53 → MYR 13:02AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont 4h 59m 92% 76%
AmericanDetails → BOS 10:49 → PHL 12:26AA 2783 3h 53m Philadelphia PHL 16:19 → MYR 18:20AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont 7h 38m 97% 76%
UnitedDetails → BOS 07:19 → ORD 09:17UA 2631 2h 36m Chicago ORD 11:53 → MYR 15:03UA 623 7h 44m 100% 74%
AmericanDetails → BOS 10:10 → CLT 12:33AA 1557 2h 07m Charlotte CLT 14:40 → MYR 15:53AA 1687 5h 43m 100% 72%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON