Sunday, October 11 · typical odds for a Sunday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Sun, Oct 11: one nonstop, B6 2049 at 11:07, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 2049 JetBlue Flight history →	BUF 11:07	RSW 14:05	21%	8%	2.5%	92%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUF 06:00 → ATL 08:10DL 2664	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 11m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	BUF 06:05 → LGA 07:32DL 4670 · flown by Endeavor	2h 45m New York	LGA 10:17 → RSW 13:25DL 379	7h 20m	97%	78%
United Details →	BUF 06:53 → ORD 07:48UA 543	3h 00m Chicago	ORD 10:48 → RSW 14:47UA 2137	7h 54m	99%	76%
American Details →	BUF 06:01 → CLT 08:01AA 1204	2h 56m Charlotte	CLT 10:57 → RSW 13:02AA 2018	7h 01m	97%	75%
Delta Details →	BUF 06:29 → DTW 07:42DL 2898	54m Detroit	DTW 08:36 → RSW 11:36DL 2001	5h 07m	87%	74%
Delta Details →	BUF 17:12 → ATL 19:23DL 2266	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → RSW 00:23 +1DL 1217	7h 11m	98%	70%
Delta Details →	BUF 12:16 → ATL 14:22DL 1384	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 17:07 → RSW 18:55DL 1124	6h 39m	99%	70%
American Details →	BUF 10:44 → PHL 12:10AA 5925 · flown by Piedmont	2h 27m Philadelphia	PHL 14:37 → RSW 17:37AA 2439	6h 53m	95%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Sun, Oct 11 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON